🌡️ Macro Regime × Strategy Fit Matrix

Pick the macro/policy conditions you care about; the system scores each strategy from its structured shock analysis and suggests Fit / Caution / Neutral with reasoning. FX and futures price-change impacts on the selected underlying and strategy operation are now included.

⚖️ Rules premise: every strategy here assumes both long and short sides follow market rules, and does not seek or rely on any policy/regulatory intervention. Returns come from market-mechanism competition, not policy arbitrage.

Select conditions (multi-select; pick at least one)

利率环境
通胀水平
经济周期
波动率 / 流动性
地缘 / 政策
央行 / 监管干预
外汇 / 汇率
期货 / 大宗商品
Reset

This is a heuristic weighting of structured macro analysis for research only — not investment advice. Combine with your own judgement and out-of-sample validation.

How FX / futures price changes affect your selected underlying and strategy

外汇 FX

FX: exchange-rate trends change the pricing direction of underlyings and cross-border funding cost. Local-currency depreciation usually strengthens export chains and commodity trends (favoring trend/momentum) and lifts import costs and inflation expectations. Sharp FX moves and carry unwinds create gaps and liquidity crunches that hurt mean-reversion, pairs, market-making and volatility-selling the most.

期货 Futures

Futures: the spot-futures basis sets roll yield — contango erodes it, backwardation adds to it. Abnormal basis and delivery squeezes break pairs and cointegration. Commodity moves drive sector rotation in resources/cyclicals, directly reshaping the sector exposure of cross-sectional momentum, multi-factor and stat-arb.

No condition selected yet — pick at least one to see suggestions.